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Free
Tips for Winning Football Bets
Your
goal should be to grind out a profit over the course of the season while
enjoying watching football. Football betting should never be viewed
in terms of "Getting Rich Quick."
Successful
football betting requires hard work & homework.
Make
betting decisions based on team emotion & situation, current
angles & relevant trends, and talent &
coaching.
Be
smarter than the public. If 90% of the public says one team is a lock
this week, the other team is probably the side to PLAY (especially in
Pro Football). The average gambler cannot beat the sports book. If they
could, there would be no sportsbooks.
Don't
bet with your heart and your emotions.
Start
with a bankroll that you are comfortable with. Set an amount that, if
you lose some or all, it will not affect your standard of living.
Set
a dollar amount to a per unit amount, for example: 1 unit = $100.00.
Never bet over 4-6% of your bankroll on a single wager.
Find
an online sportsbook offering excellent lines, bonuses and customer
service. We
recommend GameDay - click here to see for yourself.
Do
not increase wagers during losing streaks.
Do
not be conservative during winning streaks.
Establish
a line of your own on every college and pro game that you feel comfortable
with. Then compare to the posted
betting line at one of the best sports books. Throw out any emotional
games. Then study the ones that are significantly different from the
posted odds - these have the best chance of being your winners.
College
Football Handicapping Tips
1.
One Game Does Not A Season Make
Alway
approach football betting in terms of an entire season or seasons. One
or two losing weekends should never spell disaster - off weeks are an
inevitable part of sports gambling. Successful bettors "grind out"
their winnings over the course of the season. In other words, don't
try for the big kill on one game - simply set your goals (and your money
management systems) to win more games than you lose over the long haul.
2.
Early Season Pointspread and Money Line Value
Look
for excellent moneyline and point spread values early in the season,
before the odds makers have had a chance to "catch up" with
which teams are hot and which teams are not. Start your football handicapping
analysis during the summer so you'll be ready to take full advantage
of the first few weeks of the season.
3.
Bet Quality, Not Quantity
Narrow
your weekly betting choices down to no more than 5 - 7 games per week.
It's a rare week when more than a few games will stand out as good wagering
values. Find these games and you'll better your odds of winning more
than you lose.
4.
Shop For The Best Odds and Lines
With
hundreds of online sportsbooks and more springing up every season, college
football lines and point spreads will vary from casino to casino. Be
certain that you are getting the best odds for your betting dollars.
We've examined most of the online betting sites and have found that
none consistently match the quality service and excellent betting lines
offered by GameDay
Sportsbook and Casino. Click here to check them out for yourself.
5.
History Does Not Always Repeat Itself
Basically,
there are three types of handicapping - Objective, Emotional and Historical.
Objective handicapping analyzes the current strengths, weaknesses, and
overall talent of a team. Emotional handicapping looks at factors such
as let-downs after a big game, looking ahead to a huge rivalry game,
and payback to a team that rubbed it in late in last year's game. Historical
handicapping is based on past performances and things like a team having
a record of 12 and 1 against the spread in their last 13 games on turf.
Focus
primarily on Objective and Emotional analysis - these are the truest
indicators of a teams current level of performance. Historical handicapping
has a way of jumping up and biting you as soon as you lay down a huge
wad based on some ridiculous set of stats.
Never
put too much stock in a team's performance in a single game. Much to
the bookmakers' delight, most gamblers are enticed by a team who looked
great the previous week. The oddsmakers will adjust the lines to reflect
this effect, and in the process the team in question will have poor
line value. Plus, last week's "great" team usually comes back down to
earth the following week and fails to cover.
Picking
NFL Winners - Increasing Your Focus
1.
Early NFL Picks
As early in the week as possible, make a list of the coming games and
make your selections. Go with your best guess, gut feeling, or whatever.
Skip the games about which you are unsure. In making NFL picks, whether
you are an expert or someone who just likes to watch a game now and
then, your first decision is often best.
2.
The Questionable Games
Go back and mark those NFL picks you are not sure about with a question
mark. With fewer decisions remaining, the focus on these games is increased.
3.
Daily Review
Tuck your list into a convenient pocket and carry it with you. Look
it over several times a day. A minute or two twice a day is far more
helpful than an hour of study.
4.
Be an Information Junkie
Read newspapers. If you come to know a given sports writer, you will
be able to pick up on the difference between his facts and opinions,
and on any bias present. And some publish their NFL picks. There are
some shows on TV that may help. Your best bet may be the web. Sites
such as CNN, CBS, and Nando.Net are very informative. What others have
to say is particularly helpful in thinking about teams you do not follow
or do not know much about.
5.
Argue to Increase Your Focus
Get into it about your undecided picks with a friend, or anyone interested.
Or argue with yourself! "The Bears will stomp Detroit." "No they won't.
Here's why." "How come I can't make a simple decision like this?" While
this may seem an odd or novel idea, it is a real winner. It dramatically
increases the focus on the undecided games. And the greater the focus,
the more likely your final pick will be the right one.
6.
Watch Betting Line Moves
If it drops, then heavy bucks have been placed on the underdog. If it
goes up, those bucks are going to the favorite. While public opinion
may mean little in many cases, this part of the public is backing their
opinion with dollars. If in doubt, you may want to go along.
7.
Make Early Decisions
Make decisions as early as possible. Every undecided you cross off the
list leaves one less pick to think about and increases the focus on
those remaining. As the list gets shorter, you can run down it mentally
without even looking at it.
8.
Avoid Changing Your Picks
Be hesitant to change any decision already made; more often than not
it will be a loser. This seems particularly true in making NFL picks.
Once
you've made your picks, be sure to bet online with a sportsbook you
can trust ... Click
here for the most-trusted football betting on the internet!
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